Book Description
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swanshows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Nassim Nicholas Taleb - 9780141034591 - Penguin UK
ISBN: 9780141034591
| Publication Year | 2010 |
| Publisher | Penguin UK |
| No. of Pages | 480 |
| Weight | 0.9 kg |
| Genre | Ereignis, nyt:paperback_nonfiction=2010-05-09, Prévision, New York Times bestseller, Business |
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swanshows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
